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Agent Smith は Founder Meial に投票した。
Drunkard Mr.Heart は Founder Meial に投票した。
Shepherdess Katharina は Founder Meial に投票した。
Founder Meial は Agent Smith に投票した。
Maid Synthia は Founder Meial に投票した。
Founder Meial は村人達の手により処刑された。
今日は犠牲者がいないようだ。人狼は襲撃に失敗したのだろうか。
現在の生存者は、Agent Smith、Drunkard Mr.Heart、Shepherdess Katharina、Maid Synthia の 4 名。
I am so sorry I couldn't show up on the decision time. I apologize...
Well, today is the day.
There is only one wolf in one of you three.
mm...anyway, I will make no agenda.
A"------------------. As I feard. orz orz orz
I wished today won't come.
I'd better completely be wrong than see "today".
I wished today won't come very very strongly........orz.
I can't feel win...........
But I have found that today would come from yesterday,
Although I leand on the small possibility.
Because with the exception of rare cases, "today must come" has been sure.
As a man sows, so shall he reap.
I got what I deserve.
ONE-SAMA, I apologiz you very much.....
But I couldn't do anything but helped Smith the day before yesterday.....because he seemed most white at that time.
A"-------- orz
I'm very sorry that I will come back so late, around 2130 or more later because I have a lot of work today.
I'll try to come back as soon as possible, but I'm not sure......I apologiz.
Synthia and Mr.Heart, please see my yesterday's logic.
See you.........
No, No, No, Noooooooo! It's continue!!!
Ka, Ka, Katharina!
This is Katharina! It's Katharina! That's Katharina!
All is Katharina, Nooooo!
Great! Great!
I considered again about Synthia.
I said if she is pretender, her CO is suicide tactics.
It is impossible normally otherwise it's crazy gamble.
But I missed the possibility that wolf knew Alicia is hunter.
I read back her words carefully. It took not long because she didn't leave so much words.
There was not such point. She didn't say anything about she is hunter or not.
Katharina is wolf, great wolf, I respect.
【▼Katharina, ▼Katharina, ▼Katharina】
Oh, I missed this word. Meial R.I.P.
See you in evening.
How do I say, Mr.Heart and Synthia can notice Katharina is wolf?
I's difficult, but I have to try. This is my job to face with proud to people in grave especially Coppelia and Kold.
I'm now here substitute for Coppelia.
Kold saw through that Katharina is wolf and pointed it. But I couldn't catch it...
Oh, no ...... it continues?
great ... how great this LW is ....
I respect the LW.
and today, I didn't take GJ. so it's intended-cancel.
hmmmm....
If Mr. Smith is wolf, maybe Miss Meial is true.
If Miss Katharina is Wolf, Miss Meial is pretender. (that is, she is wolf or possess.)
so the case now we(I?) can think about is...
1. Mr. Smith & pretenders( Mr. Kold or one of Mediums)
2. Miss Katharina & pretenders (Miss Meial or one of Mediums)
It's OK?
In evening, I try to think about LW with wolves-team analysis...
I feel, today's Mr.Smith's reaction was natural.
...but his gentle attitude was destroyed. w
ah, Mr. Heart? I want talk with you, too.
nn, rather than... I want to helped from your opinion.
it is so difficult.....
see you later.
>>8
so that kold was attacked, kold can only be posess in case of 1. and I think there is no reason Wolf Meial putting LW smith a black result.
the big question of 1 is, why did smith made his partner CO as the medium?
>>9
in the case 2 meial is sham.
she can either be wolf or a posess.
so [kathalina meial+ shirogane] or [kathalina nicholas + meial].
pups time up
it will take another two hours for me to reach the box.
I thought there were some saying about 2-2.
I'd try to seek it.
honestly speaking, it is not so surprising that there were no attack today.
anyway I will reflesh my seeing of grays and think again.
mm...
This is the summary of my yestarday's opinion.
I wrote it when I found a few minutes today,
because Synthia had difficulty to understand my logic.
Synthia and Mr.Smith, please read, and if you don't understand it, ask me.
I want you to understand me.
After I send this, I have to be off.
First, I have decided to believe Synthia is the hunter, a human.
【Synthia is the human, this is the basic premise】
Based on this,【 Meial must not be "THE LW"】,
because he submitted black to a gray(Smith).
Detailed explanation is yestarday's my [pattern 1][pattrern 2].
I can't show the anchor now.
Take care, 【above is NOT from my own viewpoint, but from VILLAGERS' viewpoint】
【When LW Meial submit black to a gray(Katharina or Smith), she SURELY LOSE】
【Then, Meial is not "THE LW"】
Above conclusion has two exceptions.
[exception 1] Meial couldn't notice this logic, so she failed to submit her black. (that is, "Ukkari" wolf)
[exception 2] Meial abandoned her game to win.
But I thought these possibilities were so small, and I continued thinking.
From this, it is from my viewpoint.
If Meial is not the LW, I had 3 possibilities,
1.Meial is the ture > Smith is the LW.
2.Meial is the possess > Smith is the LW (because Mr.Heart and Synthia and Katharina are human)
3.Meial is a wolf (not the LW) > Smith is the LW.
Then, yesterday I found Smith is the LW except only two exceptions.
And, here is important, 【Smith could reach the similar conclusion as me】
Because "Meial is not the LW" was decided from the villager's viewpoint,
he could think bellow.
(He also had the same basic premise that Synthia is human)
He had only 2 possibilities,
1.Meial is the possess > Katharina is the LW (because Mr.Heart and Synthia and Smith are human)
2.Meial is a wolf (not the LW) > Katharina is the LW.
Yesterday Smith said "Meial is the LW", selecting only[exception 2].
Yesterday he explained his reason that Katharina seemed white,
but why could he throw out the possibility that Katharina is the LW so quickly, and without
careful consideration ?
He is a high skilled man. He can think deeply, and correctly, and can showed all possibilities.
(Remember that he submitted the procedure patterns quickly just after 2-2 style was dicided at
1st day, or early beginnig at 4th day)(I can't show the anchor now.)
He could doubt me, at least he could show the possibilities that Katharina is the LW in detail.
If he acted as he did before 5 days, he could explain the possibility with two exceptations,
and he compared "the possibility" and "Katharina's white" and "[exceptation 1][exceptation2]", and reached to his conclusion "Katharina is white, I selected [exceptation 2]"
But actually he just said "Katharina is white, Meial is the LW", even not refering [exception 1]. He just emphasised Katharina's white, and didn't refer the possibility in detail.
The important point is not that Smith believed Katharina yesterday, but【Smith didn't show the possibilitis in detail, although he could do】
Why ? Because he would hang Meial first, and the last, hang Katharina.
I'm home.
>>10 >>12 Mr. Heart
oh ... sorry and thank you ... (^v^。)
... Can I cry for my poor brain? fueeeenn
so, then..
1. Mr. Smith & Mediums ( Mr. Kold can be only possess)
2. [Miss kathalina & Miss Meial + Miss Alien] or [Miss Kathalina & one of Mediums + one of Seers]
If seers are True/Possess, Miss Meial's miss-bomb was still possible.
Of course, there is a possibility of Synthia as a LW.
yes, there is, but...
I'll have time to read the log in a while.
But yesterday, Miss Meial pointed out Mr. Smith's black point severely.
If she is possess, how she can know Miss Katharina is LW?
I have a wonder from >>2, too.
"I wished today won't come very very strongly"
You hoped ▼Mr. Smith yesterday, and you say "I don't oppose today's ▼Meial" in >>85.
So from your expectation, you can expect today's continuation.
therefore, I also want to hear her answer of >>11.
>>7 Mr. Smith
"Kold saw through that Katharina is wolf and pointed it. But I couldn't catch it..."
★ where is it ? From his words?
And you can't be substitute for my dear Coppelia.
Because you aren't little-girl.
I'm home.
Today Katharina is very black. Before days, he is very white.
>Synthia and Mr.Heart
Do you think is he black today?
If not, because I know he is wolf that I can find his black point.
I'll explain. Please wait. It's easy.
>>27 Synthia
For example, >>3:54
He said "Katharina is the most black."
>>29 Mr. Smith
ah, certainely.
I see, Thank you.
..... I wonder Miss Katharina is a man...
>>16 Miss Katharina
If it's wrong question, excuse me.
When LW Meial submit black to a gray(Katharina or Smith), she surely lose.
Rather than it, if Miss Meial was LW, she surely lose was absolute when her partner(Coppelia?) decided to be hung.
It's not danger.
but if Miss Meial isn't LW? That is, Miss Katharina & Miss Meial line.
And Miss Meial = possess, that possivility was still left.
>>17
★from [exception 1], how can Miss Meial submit her black from herself?
>>18 Miss Katharina
Maybe you show it as one of possivilities, but I try to ask.
★3 is why?
Why must she show her partner's black?
Miss Meial was got some trust, and in 4th day's last, Mr. Smith gathered some doubts.
Her showing black looks so danger.
★>>21 Miss Katharina
"Why ? Because he would hang Meial first, and the last, hang Katharina."
sorry, I can't understand this merit.
Why he wanted to hang Miss Meial first?
Please explain me.
From Miss Katharina's speech, I had those questions.
Now I wait for Mr. Smith's speech.
And when you are tired, please take a rest with this.
Who is in the grave, you too.
[Apple tea][Baked cheese cake][cookies]
[shochu][sasimi(tuna, shrimp, etc...)][fried chicken]
Well, I do have the same question about 5th day's Mr.Smith, which did seem to me black.
>>28 Mr.Smith
Well, I have few points questioning points(such as >>25 of Synthia and so).
Anyway, I am waiting for your speech now.
★Synthia and Mr.Heart
Please listen carefully then you can know Katharina is the wolf.
Please back to the discussion of 4th day.
I showed to the village 3 ways we can select. From >>4:7.
1) is hang Meial, 2) is trust Meial, 3) is seeing one more judge of Meial.
And we selected 3).
On this day Synthia CO the hunter.
Mr.Heart said >>3:155
"I don't think it does matter which you wish to prophesy, do you?"
It meant if the judge is white the other side is black.
Every one understood it. The gray is only Katharina and me.
Then please read Katharina on yesterday and today.
At first she mentioned about Synthia.
He conclude Synthia is true using long speech from >>5:21.
I said Synthia is true in >>5:17 by short sentence. That is enough and all.
Katharina said in >>5:27 that Meial's black judge means she is not the last wolf.
Katharina ignored the 4th day disscussion.
We already took 3) of 4th day. And everyone knew Smith or Katharina is the last wolf from Meial's viewpoint.
Without special reason such as wolf is miss-bomb speaking, yesterday's hanging is not changed from Meial.
He had the reason to lead Meial is true.
That is he is wolf and he has known from yesterday, today he has to hang me.
I consider Katharina doesn't know herself.
She was very white until 4th day.
(5th day she was black. But because I was in semi-epi-mode, I could not find it. I didn't read her speech carefully.)
Meial was trusted than Kold. And everyone including me looked Katharina was white.
She didn't need to be flurried.
But she afraid me too much. And she tried to use Meial's judge.
She couldn't have confidence herself because she is wolf!
As the result, this causes to show she is wolf.
I have come back!
I'll read log and answer my question.
Oh in my >>37,
× Mr.Heart said >>3:155
○ Mr.Heart said >>4:155
>>39 Mr.Smith
Thank you for long speech.
I can understand your speech.
I can also understand you were semi-epi-mode yesterday.
but I'm a little confused from your many "she".
★Then, do you think Miss Meial is possess or wolf?
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