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Good afternoon everyone!
Both of seer and seeress confirmed that 【My soul is pure white!】
The decision time is the same as yesterday.
【Provisional 11:30 / final 24:00 Earlier is better?】
Later than above is not acceptable. Because everyone wants to sleep well...
>>6 Albin, Thank you for the agenda. It is OK!
Here is my answer!
■1. Simon is doubt! Katharina is doubt!
■2. Simson is doubt! Liza is doubt!
■3. Every gray is doubt!
■4. ●Pending ▼Pending
You are doubt! We are doubt!
Good afternoon...?! Oh,Gerd!!Gerd!!
...Jesus...!
I am sorry for suddenly disappearing for the other day...
Jacob>>40 verry verry thanks!
【Liza Medium CO】
【Moritz human】
【All Confirmation.I don't oppose.】
I read the log.
>>67
O.K. I accept your opinion.
I will off from 17:00 to 22:00.
So I must say my hope before 17:00.
I'll read the log. wait please.
>>33
/*
I want to use "property of time" in my machine, it failed.
Perhaps provider do filtering NTP
why? I don't know.
*/
If Simson is true medium and Nicolas is true villeger, then the wolves can see three seer/ess is all human, so one of them is medium and one is villeger.
So, medium and villeger cancelled, my seeress was exact.
Then Simon is CO seer.
But, Nicolas's cancel was bad timing.
So I dought him.
In this case, they hope that villeger think two wolves don't pretend seer.
So I can't believe Simson is true medium, also Lisa.
poppo-
>Katharina >>71
I see.
I'm sorry to impose on you.
Thank you.
Some person were silent, then I can't think about them.
The hanging lope is limited, It coud't hang them all.
My 'temporal' opinion
▼hang Nicolas because cancelling timing
●fortune tell. Clara because reticence
These are only temporal, after 22 o'clock, I represent.
>>15 Simson
"Now, I didn't fix. Do you think about more better way?"
I don't think that. But now Moritz is white he is more better.
>>15 Simson
"Why did you want to prophesy Otto? I want to know reason."
Log is difficult me. But Otto is ●Moritz after Final decision:●Moritz. So I think he is daught.
>>15 Simson
"Provisional and final decision was not same your opinion. Did you think about it?"
I daught Otto, and you daught Moritz.
I do not daught Moritz, but do not know he is wolf.
So I OK it.
Now Moritz is white and I daught you.
■1.Katharina is daught(Possess) and Simon is True.
■2.Simson is daught(wolf) and Liza is true.
■3.Wait
■4.●Otto ▼Nicolas
Boys and girls and Vegitable and Zura,
Good-Evening dabe!
I had thought before reading the record.
I think that I should protect the hunter today.
■4.▼Nicolas or MEDIUM
I feel that Nicholas are not hunter.
poppo-
I'm sorry that I'll come back a little late, around 22:00.
In my present (temporary) feeling, I want to request today's ▼ from the gray people, permitting avoidance by hunter CO.
【I confirmed Moritz is white】
Moritz's soul isn't pure white!
But, It's fixed that Moritz is village side person.
I agree with that Moritz become the coordinator.
■2.
If Zurason is a wolf, other wolves should be good at concealment.
Because Zurason's declaration was early dabe.
It is risky to put out yesterday's decision when Zurason is Possess. Because Moritz's true colors is not understood dabe.
■2.
If Lisa was a wolf, the soul was fixed-MEDIUM.
There are possibilities of wolves in a word not good at the line switching off.
orz
>>88 ← I made a mistake!
Possess : × Zurason ○ Liza
Werewolf:○ Zurason ○ Liza
I'm sorry I don't think I can stay awake till todays final decision.
Arround 22:00-23:00 will be my deadline.
Anyway, I will drop my thoughts about Mediums.
About Medium...
Saying from Liza's CO timing, I think it will be difficult to do it if she is a werewolf.
So, if she is not the medium, I think she is possess.
Thinking her as a possess, her CO can be explained as her disliked the Medium to be fixed.
>>91 Hi Dieter!I also think so dabe!
It might say from timing and be unnatural in that opinion if it thinks usually by agreement as the wolf.
At the same time,
If CO was not done when Lisa was a wolf, it might have been execution first time dabe.
Sorry...I'm later...
2-2 and Certain human.
I think that I decreased as the load of Hunter increased.
Seer or Medium first attack,seems to be able to run away...(Perhaps...)
■2.
The deception might have only come simply if Simson was a wolf.
When Liza was a wolf, fixation might have been feared.
However, it is forecast the hesitation of Hunter more than the state of 2-2 if it is 2-1.
It is Seer of the uncertainty though is useful.
Medium as Coordinator.
Which does Guard do?
Do I think too much?
The possibility of Liza is a wolf cannot be thrown away.
In that case, Liza appeared to help someone.
Moreover, the possibility that the wolf lurks in Seer cannot finish being thrown away.
The possibility of Liza is Possess or Villager also.
I thinks simply feel the possibility of Simson is a wolf high.
At present, I am looking only at the situation.
I already told that to me, Katharina looks like the possess. So, I am looking Liza as the true Medium.
Yet, this guess is mainly from situation, so I need to look more about seers and mediums.
灰からだったら素でクララを吊りたいね。
結論ありきで仮定がすっ飛んでて普通に黒く見えるんだが。
とそれはさておき、リーザが吊られたら元々白を出す心算でいたよ。
とりあえず、先吊りだけは免れたいね。
そういう意味では、別にニコラス吊りになっても構わないのだが。
>>92 Jacob
>latter part
I do agree that latter part too.
Liza seems very busy, and today, we can't see her yet aslike yesterday.
If she did'n Co as the Medium, so that she is silent, we may have hanged her, I guess.
doubtは動詞じゃないよ。みんななぜか動詞だと思って使っているけどw
リーザに白判定は同意。そのほうがいいだろうね。
By the way, I would say that I am a bit confused about Simon's stance.
I thought he thinks Villager-pretending really BLACK so that he can't see Nicolas without prophesy.
Though, he didn't set Nicolas as the 1st day's prophesy.
SO I thought he is thinking of hanging Nicolas today, but today he is speaking of hanging grays(>>84).
★Simon
Why do you changed mind about Nicolas? Or, are you thinking of using prophesy to him today? I wish you to explain about it.
うん。絶対おかしいと思って調べてみたら案の定。(笑)
そうそう、今日の襲撃について意見があれば聞きたい。
狩人のガード抜きで面倒なところを消すとか、確定白のモーリッツ老を消すとかでも構わないけれど。
占い師狼じゃね?で占い師ローラーがかかればおいしいのだけどねぇ。
■1.About the Seer(esse)s
Maybe genuine-werewolf>genuine-possess
The reason is Medium-analysis.
If Katharina is not true, maybe Katharina is Possess. Because Rocket-CO.
If Simon is not true, maybe Simon is werewolf.
■2.About the Mediums
Now, I think Wigman-Simson is true. Because Liza is the most silent person, so I can't judge her.
On the assumption of Simson-true Medium, Liza'CO feel incompatibility.
Wigman-Simson slid the Seer to the Medium.
Aspect of werewolves, werewolves can select to hide all werewolves. I have no idea why werewolves pretended the Medium.
So, I think Possess pretended the Medium.
So, I think that the genuine Seer is Katharina and not-true Seer is Simon. And maybe Simon is werewolf.
And I think that the genuine Medium is Wigman-Simson and not-true Medium is Liza. Maybe Liza is Possess.
[Biscotti with a letter]
>>80 Clara
I think I said ●Moritz before final decision... (See >>1:239, >>1:244, and >>1:256)
Did you want to say ''PROVISIONAL decision''?
And why do you want to lynch Nicolas today?
I found the reason you doubt me, but I've not found why you doubt Nicolas.
If you doubt me more certainly than Nicolas, I wonder you'll say ▼Otto, not ●.
Please tell me why in your own words.
poppo-
>Dieter
I think Nicolas is also gray, isn't he?
We don't have enough information, so I'm not convinced my analysis.
One of the reason why I'm not convinced is the villager-pretend!!!
▼Villager-Pretender!
I don't think I can speak much anymore, so I would present my wish now.
As my wish...
▼Nicolas ●Fridel
I don't think the hunter will pretend as a Seer, so this decision would be good to protect hunter.
...Well. I agree Jacob, man.
About Fridel, I still have a difficulty to find out what she is saying, so I have to apologize that I may have misread her speech,
but I have a feeling that she speaks a lot about guarding someone, which seems to me as seeking the hunter.
>>101 Simon
Yes, Nicolas is one of the gray.
But yesterday, you strongly appealed that you think Villager-pretending is BLACK, and spoke rather lot about Nicolas.
Today, you haven't rahter touched about him, and spoke of hanging grays.
I thought you are setting Nicolas at diffrent possition(as a person whove done Villager-pretending), so it was my question you not try to hang(or prophesy) him today.
So, if you are saying gray including Nicolas, it is OK, but still I have to ask this;
★Simon
What do you think you should do about Nicolas?
poppo-
>Dieter
In my sense, The category of villager-pretender doesn't exist. Nicolas is gray, but much nearer black. So I call him gray.
■3.Gray analysis
Nicolas: Very tasty vegetable! But,He is pretty dubious.
I can't understand why he pretended the Seer in spite of the villager.
It's unnatural!
So we had better hang him today, because ▼Villager-Pretender!!!
>>107 Simon
roger that.
I'm sorry if I can't see your response before sleeping.
■3.Gray analysis
Peter:He asks many people in spite of little-boy!
There is no unnatural point in the posture of his question.
Now White-side.
■3.Gray analysis
Jacob: Dabe-man! Nicolas that Jacob made is very delicious!
Jacob was silent yesterday.
But today Jacob is talkative.
Therefore, I think it is good now about him in the stand-off.
About other grays:
Peter: Makes a lot of question. Yet, I am not sure how the question is working on his gray-looking yet. I think I need to wait a bit more.
Jacob: No mark. Seems very reliable villager to me.
The most White person right now for me.
Otto: Not so talkatve, but he seems to be a person who can think well. I don't feel like prophesying him today.
■3.Gray analysis
Dieter:He is moderate.
But,Dieter gives his views positively.
So I think Dieter need not be foretold today.
>ALL
I understood at this late date...
I thought that everyone was judging me to be a Werewolf.
If I am Werewolf, I never stopped pretending.
The reason is that it is very very disadvantageous.
Therefore, I think that I was not understanding everyone's opinion correctly.
To similar,my answer might have been a mistake.
I think more.
Uh...I want to say some more about others, but have no more time.
Sorry, but good night.
■3.Gray analysis
Otto:The bread that Otto made is delicious.
Yesterday, Otto asked Katharina only. And His opinion of prophesy was Moritz yesterday.
Otto suspected Moritz without especially examining Moritz. It's very doubtful.
So I think Otto need to be foretold today.
■4.●Otto▼Nicolas
The reason of ●Otto is >>118
The reason of ▼Nicolas is >>109
It's very difficult to do Gray-analysis in English!
I'm very tired!!!
I want to eat Nicolas-Salad!!!
襲撃先だけど、できれば狩人を狙いたいな。
でも、英語だと狩人臭がわからないw
リーザ襲撃も面白いかもな。
I'm home and wrote it. Please see it.
■1.About the Seer(esse)s
I can't understand why Katharina want to prophesy silent person.
I said a opinion about silent person.(>>9)
So I want to prophesy talkative or moderate person.
I doubt her waste prophesy and if things go well make sham result.
Katharina done rocket CO, and it looks like a Posses.
But I can't throw away possibility Werewolf, because avobe reason.
Then, Simon say ●Thomas with a passion.
I couldn't not judge white or black because he said passion.
But, I like his opinion about Nicolas.
He said "The category of villager-pretender doesn't exist."
I agree it too. He looks like coolness person.
And he hard to answer question honestly. It looks like true Seer.
If he is not true, he is a werewolf maybe.
If he is not true:Werewolf>Posses
Katharina answered question from other person, too.
But her answer was looks like fuzzy. So I feel difficult to believe her.
うむ。
出来れば狩人が吊り回避してくれればうはうはなんだが。
クララが狩人だったらある種おいしすぎるな、ははは。
>Liza and Simon.
I apologizes to Liza and Simon.
I have to answer subject for discussion of today.
I will answer later for you.
ちょwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww
おまwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww
腹壊すぞニコラス食べたらwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww
■2.About the Mediums
I feel difficult to analysis her because she is wery silent.
But if she is Posses, she thought CO for not fixing me maybe.
If she is Werewolf.......sorry, I can't imagine.
So I analysis after when she more talkative.
Now, I am reading again everyone's words.
Please wait gray analysis.
Nicolas is one of the most delicious vegetables in this village!
I don't agree, because he move and talk.
He looks like monster plant.(For example Mandragora)
No! Nicolas is very cute!!!
Why don't you eat Nicolas?
Nicolas>>64 > "Is it my study shortage?" Yes,you study shortage.Choice,werwolfs & possess.also not village.
>>65 I don't forgotten possess.I doubt you and seers and mediums.
But,your doing if you village so bad.I can't trust you.I doubt you possess.
You say "Werewolf is possible to consult at a speed that is faster than the villager. " It is true.
You say slowly. We wait you. difficult English !
I think if I eat him, maybe break my stomach.
So I don't eat him. ((;・д・))
I'm home!
I haven't read the detail of all log very well, but now I'll do some comment.
★Liza > How time can you speak everyday ? Can you say Medium result at morning ?
■1.True(T):Katharina > Simon:Pretend(P)
Katharina : True > Possess >> Werwolfs
Simon : True = Werwolfs = Possess
■2.T :Simson = Liza: P
I can't understand Liza.
about Medium
Some people think that Liza is the genuine Medium because of her CO timing, but I don't agree with their opinion.
Since Liza is the last person that came at 1st day. Many people were worring whether she come. I think the wolves were also worrying if she is the wolf.
The 2-1 CO style is not bed for wolves because either the seer or the medium is easily attacked at the 1st attack. And 2-2 CO style is not so bad for the wolves, too.
So, shall we imagine, that the wolves left the red message to Lisa "If you want to pretend, you can pretend. Or you don't want to pretend, you don't have to".
She seems very silent. If she doesn't pretend, she may be hunged at 1st hunging.....?
It's just the fiction. But I want to say that the possibility can't be thrown.
■3.Gray analysis
Thomas
He was only person about hang Nicolas.
But his opinion was contains many subjectivity.
I couldn't respect it. Nicolas is so white?
Why he looks like confidence? Unbelievable.
He looks like black a little.
Clara
Maybe, she tries make answer with her words.
But, her words is also only conclusion.
It omission processes.
So she looks like black. I want to hear your opinion with prosseses.
Fridel
She tries read everyone's mind used question and analysis. And she answered honestly any question.
It is so favorite image for me.
So, she looks like white.
かもねぇ。
あまり好ましくないんだけど。ワタシとしては正々堂々とぶつかり合うのが好きだから。
灰考察、何処までやれるかな。さて。
Traveler Nicolasは、Littleboy PeterI wish to express my gratitude to you. You suspected me but taught me many.
Good evening everyone.
I don't feel it easy to answer in the questionnare form, so I use ■1〜4 numbers later.
First, I took notice that Simon came out as Seer although there are 3 would-be Seer(esse)s.
Why did he have to came out?
The point is that Simon didn't know 2 slides occurring.
Let's suppose that he is Lunatic.
There were already 3 would-be Seer(esse)s at his coming-out point.
The considerble breakdown is; Seer(ess), Werewolf and Medium (or Just-Villager. As of Guardian, I think the possibility of it to be thin though it is incontrovertible.) OR Seer(ess) and 2 Werewolves.
If there is a Medium (or alternative Village-person), I think he/she will slide: his coming-out take a pretty high risk of leading to lynch 1 or 2 Werewolves.
I think it inadvisable as behavior of Lunatic.
Next. Let's suppose that he is Werewolf.
There were already 3 also.
The breakdown is; Seer(ess), Lunatic and Village-person (means Medium, Just-Villager ----- or Guardian); Seer(ess), Lunatic and Werewolf; Seer(ess), Village-person and Werewolf.
I think that the Werewolves have preferable alternative in the last case: for example both pretenders keep pretending and make different lines.
Moreover, Werewolves apt to feel more difficult to work together with hidden Lunatic than with comen-out Lunatic, so it's natural they consider Lunatic already came out as a pretender.
I think, in the case Simon is Werewolf, he knew the slide-occurring ----- in other words, there was a Werewolf of the two: Simson and Nicolas.
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