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Good Morning.
I look result 【I am white 】and【Liza white 】【 Moritz killed】
■5.
Sorry, I am busy today.
but I try coordinator.so help me count ●▼
久しぶり。
リーザが霊COしてたんだね。
リーザ狼なら出てきた意味が……って、狂判定出てるのか。
うーん、なくはないと思うけど…………
喰われることはなさそう?喰うより吊らせる方が有利なんだから?
さて、今日の●候補を誰にすべきか。
▼は希望はローラー完遂(通らなくても無問題)
両方理由付けが面倒そう。
今後の占い結果は全白?黒誤爆は怖い。
バスターズのとき、パンダになって数日生存勝利したことがあるから、シモンから黒が出たから即吊りともいかないだろうし。
狼の占霊スライドは見たことがあるけど、今回もそうなのか、リーザの村騙りで、神父は本物なのか。
15人村だから、村側に余裕は無くて狼側有利ではあるんだが。
ニコラスが村騙りなのか、村騙り騙りなのか。
さて。
■2.
I have a doubt to Simson's CO.
There is no freemasons. So, We could prospect that the settled medium become coordinator.
But, Simson didn't act for settling the medium,
■2.
First of all, I have a doubt to Simson's CO.
There is no freemasons. So, We could prospect easily that the settled medium become coordinator.
But, Simson didn't act for settling the medium, but for >>67. I can't understand this reason. So, I can't trust him.
But I can't trust Liza as genuine medium. It is impossible! Because we couldn't hear her opinion at last....
■2.
If Simson is the genuine medium, Liza is the possess and Kathy or Simon is the werewolf. In this case, there is a question.--Why did Clala become settled white?
■2.
If Simson is the genuine medium, Liza is the possess and Kathy or Simon is the werewolf. In this case, there is a question.
--Why did Clala become settled white?
■2. (section3; Case of genuine medium: Simson)
I think the werewolves are afraid of hunter's GJ and they wants to "Line Battle".
Now there are 8 grays. If I suppose right, werewolves choose imagianry enemy carefully.
Was Clara so white? I think, it was easy to telling Clara black. Why did Clala become settled white?
■3.GS B:Dieter > Thomas > Otto = Albin = Jacob > Nicolas > Fridel:W
yesterday thinking GS.
and I think werwolf is Simon or Simson.(Liza is not werwolf. Katharina maybe not werwolf.)
Simon 1day ●Thomas ○Jacob yesterday ▼Nicolas > Clara > Thomas > Jacob ●Fridel ○Jacob
Simson yesterday ●▼Nicolas or Clara or Thomas
GS B:Dieter > Jacob > Otto = Albin > Fridel > Thomas > Nicolas:W
(I can't understand Nicolas. I am ok Nicolas prophesy. but I am not ok Nicolas hunging today.)
■2.(section4; Case of genuine medium is Liza)
In this case, first of all, we must think about this question -- Why did Simson do slide CO?
If Simson is the possess,
どう頑張っても占い師の単体考察とか、灰考察に行き着かないの。。 シモンさん発言多すぎるわ!
とまには無理よ〜〜〜〜(´。・ω・。`)
Good afternoon everyone!!
>Thomas
We will ask it. Does 【 Kathy 】 mean 【 Katherina 】?
■5
If everyone hopes, I also similarly leave coordination to Clara.
Thank you very much for Clara.
I am still fighting against English !!
Let's meet you later!!
独り言が多いのは、単に下書き用にメモ帳立ち上げるのが面倒なだけなの(´・ω・`)
面倒くさがりにも程がある? ほっといt(ry
>Nicolas >>3:49 Yes!
I was very surprised, so that Peter says me white suddenly....Why??Σ(゚Д゚;艸
◎言いたいこと!
・ニコラスは白!
→羊兵神の誰が狼でもニコ狼は不可解。スライドするなら最初からCOしないわ!
→唯一ありうるのは羊or兵&神が狼、旅が狂人。なんでやねん! なんで2COやねん!
◎言いたいことその2!
・神狂のとき
→神は狼に都合よく動きすぎ。狂人ならどんだけギャンブラーなのかしら?
・神狼のとき
→とくにないわ!
Thomas > I want to lern. What do you think after all ?(>>43>>45>>46)
■2.(section4; Case of genuine medium is Liza)
In this case, first of all, we must think about this question -- Why did Simson do slide CO?
If Simson is the possess, he is too nice to be possess. It is difficult that the possess act like this.
If Simson is the werewolf, I don't have a question in this point.
But, other question appears. --- Why didn't the werewolves killed the candidate of seer?
■2. the conclusion(without checking each insistence)
I think[A>B>C].
A:K/WS=Seer/Possess(or Possess/Seer) , L=Medium, FS=Werewolf
B:K/WS=Seer/Werewolf(or Werewolf/Seer), L=Possess, FS=Medium
C:K/WS=Seer/Werewolf(or Werewolf/Seer), L=Medium, FS=Possess
(K=Katharina WS=Simon, L=Liza, FS=Simson)
>Peter
>>51 Oh, Line-Cutting! Thank you.
>>52 I'm sorry to be late!
I don't have time... Sorry!
Today I'll come about 22:00.
■2. Supplement
There is a possibility; "K/WS=Seer/Werewolf(or Werewolf/Seer), L=Medium, FS=Werewolf"
But I think this possibility is hardly exist.
Bye!!(o・∀・o)ノ
>Thomas
We wish to express our gratitude for your answer!!
>Peter
I'm sorry, Peter.
Because I of yesterday was a person in the turmoil,
it was difficult for me to judge other people objectively.
Because a lot of doubt were turned to me.
I must fulfill my responsibility as true Villager.
The mind must not break.
However, I was frightened in reality.
Even if I concealed it,
my fright were clear, by my opinion.
I try to straighten me by speaking my feelings now...
I dive again! let's meet later everyone!!
LWはトマかのぅ。適当じゃがな。
神旅を吊りつつ、占いは中庸に当てる。占襲撃があれば対抗は吊る。
で、最後は灰同士で頑張れってことで。
もりさんお疲れ様
まだ占機能が生きてるのは村有利かな?
今日は神父吊って、狩人さん頑張れってところかな
★リーザ 宿が覗けたら一言だけでも残していってくれると助かる わしの気持ち的に
Sorry.The urgent business entered me.
Maybe I don't have enough time to do gray-analysis today.
So I show my provisional now.
■4.●Otto▼Nicolas
I have thought him to be doubtful since yesterday.
And Hanging is Nicolas! We have to hang Villager-Pretender!
If I can return by time, I might express the opinion again.
Then I'll do gray-analysis at night.
See you!
すまん、本当に用事が入った。
戻るのが仮決定ぎりぎりになるか、仮決定に間に合わない可能性もある。
隙を見て、鳩を飛ばすなりして状況の把握には努めるようにするけど、反応するのは厳しいかも。
完全に離席する前に、今日の襲撃先についての意見を言っておくね。
今度は占い師襲撃をすべきだと思う。これ以上白確を作るわけにはいかない。狂人に頼るのも期待できそうにないからね。
狩人も、今日白確のモーリッツ襲撃の影響もあるから、これ以上白確を失うわけにいかないだろうと判断して、今度は白確のクララを護衛するだろう。
シモンとカタリナ、どちらが真かを見極めよう。
リーザもお疲れ様
リアルが大変だったのかな?
リーザの正体が真霊かどうかは判断できんが、対抗道連れにした時点で任務完了じゃよ
後はまったり自陣営の応援する良ろし
ペーター襲撃はその後で十分じゃないか?
現時点での私の占い師候補についての意見は、シモン真・カタリナ狂人と見ているよ。
シモン狂なら、発表をもっと様子見するだろう。昨日も今日も迷わず白出ししているから、さすがに真じゃないか?
Merchant Albinは、Woundedsoldier Simon を能力(襲う)の対象に選びました。
一応シモンにセットした状態で離席するよ。
どんなことがあっても、本決定後には顔を出せると思うから、シモンとオクラの最終的な結論には合わせられるよ。
それじゃ、当分離席!
一応2桁発言をし続けているから、今日だけ発言が少なくても寡黙扱いされないでしょう?
それにしても、思ったよりも、日本語で考察→翻訳サイトでそのまま貼り付けるという人が多いね。
それじゃ、いつもの人狼をただ翻訳サイトのひどい英語で英訳しているだけじゃないかと思ったりする。
せっかくなんだから、簡単な英語でいいから、まず自分で文章を適当に作ってみて、うまく表現できないときだけ翻訳サイトを利用すればいいのに、と思ったり。
OK。元々クララ襲撃するつもりはなかった。
ワタシも、シモンが真だと思っている。増えた材料を元に考察しなおすが。
あと、ワタシはシナモンだ。(笑)
僕はペタ気になるかな。
ニコ潜伏狂人考えておきながら狼2騙り真剣に検討してなかったっぽいのが。
フリ…見直す余裕があるならするw
pigeon<poppo
>clala
i am sorry but i think i may be asleep by the final decision. i will try to see the decision next morning before 6.
i will speak about grays when i get to the box.
question and offer:
>friedel
you often uses "anxious" in your speech.does it mean WORRY or DOUBT to you?
if you mean DOUBT, i want you to say you doubt, instead of anxious. it makes me confuse.
>peter
why do u set nicolas who u dont understand as the most WHITE?
saying u dont obey nicolass prophesy makes me doubt u dont mind to waste prophery, which seems black to me.
■4.
temporally.
▼simson
i dont like to stop roller in the middle.
liza was too silent, and i cant figure out the medium...
if not roller, i wish ▼Nicolas.
>☆Simon (from >>2:231)
The second.
This is the opinion not from my sense but from my thinking.
I expected a lot of Seer(ess) to come before it came to this village.
Werewolf can consult much earlier than villagers.
Therefore,I thought that Werewolf might lead villager in a wrong direction, if they begin to act faster than villager.
(→next)
There were a lot of patterns of truth when I saw 2CO.
If I add more thinking,
I predicted advent of the fourth person.
I mention about you too, Simon.
The Werewolf prophet is one person or less, as everyone's idea.
However, I thought about possibility of two Werewolf prophets.
I thought that 2CO Werewolf Seer(ess) was able to run away.
It is not usualness.
But, there is no Freemasons in this village.
Rival Werewolf's allies are four people.
And, the number of the hanging in this village makes roller difficult.
2CO Werewolf Seer(ess) is able to run away.
In addition, we are difficult to discuss for this village is special (english).
If even LW is strong, and he gets away, the village will be defeated.
My idea will look very strange.
However, in my idea it is a role of the wolf to outthink the villager.
Because this village is a special village.
…If I say this, it might invite misunderstanding.
If I was wolf man, it is likely to have become the fourth prophet.
It is because everyone doesn't expect it.
I may wish for it in the festival village.
The fourth person was expected because it had thought like that.
It is because not the strategy but the wolf is the 【Entertainer】.
I thought that is not the abandonment of 【Gachi】and【Entertainer】.
Therefore, the conclusion that my idea put out is 【All possibilities】.
I cannot tell it to you well.
Do this become an answer for you, though it became long?
>★ Dieter
I question you.
Why did you say this at first day?
【say if you CANCEL the CO as the SEER/ESS or not as soon as possible!】
If you are a villager, I do not understand you.
Please, teach me.
Good evening.
I confirmed Simson say Lisa was human.
If Simson is true medium then Lisa was human,
and if Simson pretended medium then Lisa was true medium, therefore human.
Whichever Simson is true or not Lisa was human.
So no wolves made hang.
>Simon
Addition.
Passion told me,
Katharina→Possess
Simson→Possess=Werewolf=Seer
After,
Simon→Werewolf=Seer
I thought.Passion!!
...I said ?
Now, I am back at the box, but give me while for reading the board.
>>69 Nicolas
At that time, Seer was 4CO without freemason.
That meant there was a Village-pretender(or Village-pretender-pritendingwerewolf) inside this 4.
you would seek out from my speeches, but I think village pretending does NOTHING to help villager, which just make noise to our thinking.
So, I wanted to regect the noise, which made that speech.
So, I will answer this;
" It is because I DON'T LIKE village pretender!"
Adding to this, I am not sure Nicolas will understand this.
The reason is that you did the village-pretending(I'm not sure you are a werewolf or not, borrowing your words).
For me, village-pretending makes no sense.
For you, may be it does.
I think it is rather from difference of stance.
Good-Evening!everybody!
I consider gray analysys
but
First of all, my opinion of the ”MURAKATARI” is expressed dabe.
gray analysys some persons
1.Thomas
Yesterday, he was silent. But tday he was spoken many.
His casestudy is very good.
I think that he serarch warewoves seliously.
But his casestudy only for seer/ess and medium only.
I want him think other gray person.
My creed is the following.
The "MURAKATARI"should execute first. > The "MURAKATARI" should put it on the fortune-telling first.
Lisa was executed first time.
Then, Nicholas should not execute today.
■4.▼Zurason Iron plate!!!!!
つかあれだよな。
吊られた方が真かどうか狂人視点でわからなかったから偽黒出せなかったとかそんなか?
狂人は身代わりに吊られてこそなんぼだと思うんだが。
However, it is opposite to me to leave Nicholas as it is dabe.
Because it is a disadvantage that he stays in the ash for the village.
Albin
He will gray analysys tonight.
So my analysys of him also later.
Peter
>>36
I think also.
Many spoken taled by him, I agree.
I can't dought him.
■5.I wish Clala to be the one.
■2.Simson says Liza was human, so I am rather looking for two patterns.
Which is,
1:Simson(true), Liza(posess)
2:Simson(Sham), Liza(true)
In fact, Liza was too silent that it is impossible to seek out if she was the true medium or not by her speech.
Yet, so that Katharina seems very sham to me(and she looks like posess to me), I can't say simson is te true medium.
■1.
Speaking about the seer, the one which I feel like the real one is Simon.
One of the reason is CO timing, which I ahave already described.
Although, yesterday, Katharina didn't speak a lot, so I wish her to do so.
Yet, If Simson is true Medium, then I think Simon is the werewolf----Katharina doesn't seems like the werewolf from her act.
Yet, Katharina seems really Sham to me... so, I guess Simon is the Seer.
Otto
His English is very difficult for me.
Because my poor English skill.
So I can't very well what he want to say.
think about him later.
>>64 Dieter
I agree your opinion.
So, today's my opinion
▼Simson.
If not hang Simson, ▽Nicolas because villeger pretender
●wait please. I reread the log.
まあワタシが切り捨てられるのは構わんが。
だったらニコラスは今後どう扱うんだと聞かれた時の為に回答は予め用意しておくといい。
■Gray analysis.
【Jacob】I can agree many about his saying.His stance is set, and I can't see any contradiction from what he says. Seems white.
【Otto】He is good thinker, can think deep. If Simson is werewolf, it means that werewolf has someone els who can rely to win the game, but he does maches to that image.
Yet, it is only that image which makes him look black and I can't find other black points from him. Adding, I wish him to change lines more, so that we can read his speech more easilly.
あ、そゆことね。
OK。
しかし、村騙りって白くないよなぁ。
モーリッツは何を思ってニコラスを放置したんだか。
Woodcutter Thomasは、Father Simson を投票先に選びました。
oops!
【I see Clara white】
【I see Liza human】
and...Moriiiiiiitz!!!
【Fridel】She made a very good gray analysis so that we can seek out her thoughts.
It was rather a big doubt for me about her speech which seemed like looking for hunter, yet yesterday's gray analysis was deep.
Few words expression makes me confuse, so I want her to figure it out. Gray.
【Thomas】He was one of the silent till yesterday in my image.
Today, in fact, he speaks a lot than other days. ...but, it is hard to seek out he is white or blck. I want more data to think about him.
【Nicolas】He can speak well. I do agree that, but I have to oppose him keeping as GRAY, same as others forever. Village-pretender should be hanged, or at least prophessed, I can't see him without looking him black.
【Peter】Now, it is really hard for me to understand his GS.
Why is it that he set Nicolas as the most white person, yet saying "he can't understand Nicolas?" Adding to this, he suddenly set Thomas at the second white person, which he said rather black yesterday(2:>>188).
His thought of seeing black and white is changing so suddenly that I can't trace his thought, which makes me doubt him.
Yet, I am doubtful about him and Fridel's line, because it is too seeable.
So, as today's wish, I will set this.
▼Simson, ●Nicolas
If not continuing roller(Yet I wish to continue it),
▼Nicolas ●Peter.
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